GM CEO Rick Wagoner briefed his board of directors about his discussions with Renault/Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn, but the companies are wading through a self-imposed quiet period while they sort things out.
In the meantime, GM's top North American sales and marketing executive claims that the company's strategy of avoiding deep discounts is working, even though sales are down 12% over last year: "First you have to stabilize it. Then you can make it go in the right direction."
How is GM going to turn this thing around? By selling lots of BIG VEHICLES:
Starting late this year, GM will start rolling out three new eight-passenger "crossover" vehicles that will offer the room and seating capacity of large sport-utility vehicles but ride smoother and consume less gas.
"Consume less gas" means they will get about 25 mpg. On the highway.
GM is also counting on Saturn to be a "conquest brand." This is the same brand that, just over two years ago, was struggling so badly that it had to surrender its independence from other GM brands. Count me skeptical, even though the Sky is a very cool car.
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1. Posted by Dale on July 18, 2006 @ 11:15 | Permalink
Sales Down 12% ... GM's Strategy is Working
That's the same comparable store sales decline you've seen at Sears Roebuck over the last couple quarters and look at what has happened with Sears Holdings' stock since Lampert took over. It's this sort of simple-minded analysis of sales (as opposed to analysis of profits and returns on capital) that leads to equity mispricing -- come to think of it, it's this sort of simple-minded analysis that causes the poor fundamental situation in the first place.
2. Posted by Gordon Smith on July 18, 2006 @ 14:51 | Permalink
Maybe the problem, Dale, is that you think my title is "analysis."
3. Posted by Dale on July 18, 2006 @ 15:00 | Permalink
OK, Gordon, I will revise.
That's the same comparable store sales decline you've seen at Sears Roebuck over the last couple quarters and look at what has happened with Sears Holdings' stock since Lampert took over. It's this sort of simple-minded commentary on sales (as opposed to thinking critically of profits and returns on capital) that leads to wrongheaded thinking -- come to think of it, it's this sort of wrongheaded thinking that causes the poor fundamental situation in the first place.
4. Posted by Gordon Smith on July 18, 2006 @ 15:20 | Permalink
Dale, I made a mistake by breaking my resolution not to respond to your comments, and now I am breaking it again. But now that I am here, I might as well explain why I made my resolution in the first place.
The problem with your comments is that you are shadow boxing, fighting against positions that I don't advocate. In this instance, for example, you accused me of "simple-minded analysis" because my title parroted the statements of a GM marketing executive. Then you offered the blazingly insightful claim that equity pricing should be based on analysis of profits and returns on capital, even though nothing in my original post made reference to GM's stock price.
My experience with you has been that by the time I get through several exchanges that are required to clarify your initial errors, I have wasted a good chuck of my afternoon. So I hereby resolve, again, not to do that.
5. Posted by Dale on July 20, 2006 @ 5:38 | Permalink
The problem with your comments is that you are shadow boxing, fighting against positions that I don't advocate. In this instance, for example, you accused me of "simple-minded analysis" because my title parroted the statements of a GM marketing executive.
There was no irony or sarcasm whatsoever intended in your title? If not, then I am mistaken.
Then you offered the blazingly insightful claim that equity pricing should be based on analysis of profits and returns on capital, even though nothing in my original post made reference to GM's stock price.
You obviously believe there are no cognitive failures behavioral pitfalls on Wall Street. If not, why would it be obvious that revenues don't dicate the value of a company when so many purported equity analysts and investors couldn't get past this 18 months ago upon the merger of Sears and Kmart? The resulting stock was obviously mispriced. I am pointing out it's the job of management to increase the value of the equity of a company and one potential route to do that is by letting revenues fall. The implication from your post is this is a bad tactic.
My experience with you has been that by the time I get through several exchanges that are required to clarify your initial errors, I have wasted a good chuck of my afternoon. So I hereby resolve, again, not to do that.
My experience has been you like to imply things and then you won't stand by your implications. The best example of this was on Amazon, where you implied or said the company's strategy was to "lose money on each item and make it up on volume." Har har. I'm sorry that was so blindingly wrong I had to spend so much time dissuading you from that belief (given your apparent ignorance of accounting and corporate strategy). It's interesting you now believe I was the mistaken one needing your remedial attention.
But whatever, don't respond. I just can't help myself, though, every time I read this blog I see something needing a comment.
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