July 12, 2008
IndyMac Fails
Posted by Fred Tung

Indymac While Fannie and Freddie flounder, another Big Mac has flamed out.  On Friday, the FDIC seized control of IndyMac Bank, the mortgage lender founded by Angelo Mozilo and other Countrywide executives back in 1985.  This marks the first major commercial bank failure associated with the mortgage meltdown and the third largest bank failure in history.  With $32 billion in assets, the size of IndyMac's collapse is exceeded only by those of Continental Illinois in 1984 and American Savings and Loan in 1988 during the height of the S&L crisis.

IndyMac specialized in jumbo loans to folks with less than perfect credit histories.  Last year, it was the ninth largest US mortgage lender.  Its collapse will cost FDIC somewhere between $4 billion and $8 billion.  Ouch.  Note this represents a non-trivial portion of the FDIC's $53 billion deposit insurance fund.  Speaking of deposit insurance, of IndyMac's $19 billion in deposits, almost $1 billion of it is not covered by deposit insurance, which is capped at $100,000 per depositor.  Ouch again. 

One interesting twist:  regulators singled out Senator Charles Schumer for special blame in triggering IndyMac's collapse.  Said John Reich, head of of OTS:  "The senator made comments . . . questioning the viability of the institution.  When a member of the United States Senate makes such a statement, it frightens depositors."  Over the next 11 days following the senator's remarks, depositors withdrew $1.3 billion--over $100 million a day!

Personally, I can't ever remember a government official openly questioning the solvency of a specific financial institution. Certainly IndyMac's downward arc began long before Schumer's comment. OTOH, deposit taking is really a big confidence game.  We like to think of our bank as having a big steel drawer with our name on it, and if we just pull out the drawer, there's our money sitting safely inside the drawer.  But of course there is no such drawer.  The bank is just intermediating between savers and borrowers, and hopefully, payments by borrowers keep pace with withdrawal demands from savers.  Else the jig is up.  When a public official announces that the jig may be up, that surely improves the likelihood that the jig is indeed up.  Here, to the tune of several billion dollars.

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Comments (2)

1. Posted by John back pain Austin on July 13, 2008 @ 7:27 | Permalink

Those with multiple accounts under $100,000 are probably screwed. During the S & L mess I had a friend with three accounts each under $100,000 that totaled $230,000. She was reimbursed a total of $100,000. Those at the S & L assured her all the money was insured. There was another S & L across the street. She lobbied Congress to no avail.


2. Posted by Petes2cents on July 14, 2008 @ 15:53 | Permalink

Now that IndyMac is the first of many banks to fail, I think we're going to see a lot more banks, not only close for the weekend, but close for good and go bankrupt. Rumors talk about 90+ banks, I think that's a little exaggerated, but very well possible. I would guesstimate around 30+ banks will close shop.

I'm an investor in the stock market and have started to build a position in Bank of America. One of the few 500 lb. gorillas left in the room. Every dip, I pick up more shares. I don't think there going anywhere, but you never know. Investments are all risky.

I never thought I would see this happen here in the USA, but here we are....let's all cross our fingers.

petes2cents.com

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