One question about the Fed's powers to bail out AIG whether it bought the company or simply made a loan to it. I see 79.9% equity, and I think "purchase," and in turn that the purchase is a stretch of the Fed's powers. But I haven't seen the deal. And here's a helpful look at the case the Fed might make, from Jeff Lipshaw (UPDATE: there's more from Jeff here):
The loose interpretation of the events is that the Fed "bought" AIG, or "took control" of AIG. If you frame the issue that way, it does indeed seem difficult to fit this within Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act:
In unusual and exigent circumstances, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System . . . may authorize any Federal reserve bank . . . to discount for any individual, partnership, or corporation, notes, drafts, and bills of exchange when such notes, drafts, and bills of exchange are indorsed or otherwise secured to the satisfaction of the Federal Reserve bank. . . . All such discounts for individuals, partnerships, or corporations shall be subject to such limitations, restrictions, and regulations as the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System may prescribe.
I moved from litigation to transactional work in the late '80s, and made my bones doing leveraged "vulture capital" deals. Our clients would swoop in and buy up troubled companies (mostly automotive suppliers). The financing consisted of "credit facilities" (the closing books are sitting on my shelves here) we used to negotiate with GE Capital and Westinghouse Capital in those halcyon days of being able to own companies with very little of your own skin in the game (i.e. lots of leverage!). The credit facility would consist of a term loan and preferred stock to buy the company, a revolving credit line for working capital, and warrants as the "equity kicker."
We need to zero in on these warrants, because as I read the press reports (not having seen the documents), the so-called "80% ownership" the Fed got was in the form of "equity participation warrants." This isn't collateral in the sense of an asset owned by AIG and capable of being foreclosed on if there is a default on the loan. (In contrast, what IS collateral is, for example, the shares in National Union Fire Insurance, which writes a huge chunk of the D&O coverage in the U.S. and I believe is nicely profitable.) Warrants are options to buy the stock - a contract right to own in the future, not present ownership.
The reason that lenders like GE Capital took warrants is that they didn't want to own equity (other than the preferred stock). What they wanted to do was exercise the warrants when the leveraged company got sold or went public (known in the parlance as "flipping" the company). The warrants served the purpose of making the potential return on the credit facility commensurate with the risk. What I'm suggesting, if in fact I'm correct about the structure, is that warrants as part of a loan package were ephemeral ownership at best.
Since nobody is going to "flip" AIG, it's less clear to me how the warrants produce value. Let's assume that AIG survives and even thrives. At some point, the government exercises the warrants and there is a humungous public offering of now extremely valuable AIG stock, and the Fed gets a return commensurate with having loaned $85 billion. Or the government sells the warrants and never owns any of AIG even for a fleeting moment.
The rest of the "control" of AIG occurs, I'm assuming, in the positive and negative covenants of the loan agreement. I had the good fortune of teaching the classic partnership case of Martin v. Peyton yesterday, in which the issue is whether the lenders are partners of the borrowers when part of the pay-back involves a profit-sharing plan, and the lenders have significant "control" rights (such as veto power on transactions, etc.) The holding of the case is that, notwithstanding all of the conditions, this is still fundamentally debt and not equity - that is, the lenders are not co-owners of the borrower. David thinks that the Fed's directive to change out the AIG CEO is evidence of "control;" it just doesn't strike me that way. It's the classic case of good lawyers being able to write affirmative covenants as negative covenants - we aren't telling you who to hire, we're just holding a veto over who you do hire, and we veto the incumbent.
So while the transaction may be unprecedented, the Fed doesn't own, and almost certainly never will own AIG. And, by the way, there is precedent for the government swooping in and owning a private enterprise. Way back when I was in law school at Stanford, Victor Palmieri offered a course (I didn't take it) called Crisis Management, the subject of which was the failure of the Penn Central railroad, and the creation of Conrail. Now it's true Congress authorized the creation of Conrail, and it was a private corporation all of whose stock was owned by the United States. But if the government really wants to own AIG (I seriously doubt it!), there's time. As I recall, when Citicorp agreed to acquire Travelers Insurance, which included Salomon Smith Barney, there was this little impediment called Glass-Steagall that had to get amended or repealed before the deal could close.
The bottom line: in complex financing, you reach a very fine line between debt and equity. Nobody can claim to have it absolutely right. But in my world, the equity kicker just sounds like part of the credit package, not "ownership." Accordingly, it didn't seem such a stretch to think it fell within "such limitations, restrictions, and regulations as the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System may prescribe."
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1. Posted by fedgovernor on September 18, 2008 @ 7:59 | Permalink
Yes, David ... Jeff almost has it.
He's unclear what the Fed would do with the warrants because usually, the owner of warrants means to profit by them in the future.
Here, the Fed has warrants (I have not seen them, but I gather) that expire in 24 months. The warrants only become exerciseable if AIG defaults on the loan.
Thus, the warrants are true collateral and give the right to the Fed to purchase 79.9% of the common stock at a set price if AIG defaults on the line of credit.
In this way, the Fed gave AIG 24 months to sell the assets necessary to provide the liquidity that AIG says is required to meet its obligations.
All the Fed is really giving AIG is time.
This is basically a home-equity loan on steroids. Nothing more.
2. Posted by fedgovernor on September 18, 2008 @ 8:11 | Permalink
And David ... now that you understand better what's going on, how about writing a post about how Ben Bernanke protected the US taxpayer.
Bernanke (or possibly Treasury, but probably Bernanke) forced AIG to "bet the company" in order to get the loan.
This is possibly the best-secured loan in all of history.
If AIG doesn't pay back the loan, then the Fed will take control of the company and sell it off.
This protects the taxpayers because it allows the Fed to be repaid, not out of tax dollars, but out of the proceeds of the orderly sale of AIG's subsidiaries, in the event of an ultimate failure of the company.
Also, the Fed guaranteed that the folks who got us into this mess weren't going to be involved in the future running of the company.
This was all done to protect the taxpayer and make the loan palatable to lawmakers, who, if they so chose, could outlaw Fed activities of this type if the Fed is not very careful to ensure that its regulatory mistakes don't effect the careers of legislators.
3. Posted by Jeff Lipshaw on September 18, 2008 @ 8:23 | Permalink
Fedgovernor: your point on the warrants is well-taken, as is the point about this being poorly reported.
See:http://lawprofessors.typepad.com/legal_profession/2008/09/the-aig-deal-an.html
4. Posted by Jeff Lipshaw on September 18, 2008 @ 8:25 | Permalink
Oops. Wrong link:
http://lawprofessors.typepad.com/legal_profession/2008/09/more-on-debt-eq.html
5. Posted by Jeff Lipshaw on September 18, 2008 @ 8:25 | Permalink
Oops. Wrong link:
http://lawprofessors.typepad.com/legal_profession/2008/09/more-on-debt-eq.html
6. Posted by Bobby Bartlett on September 18, 2008 @ 18:24 | Permalink
This all sounds right to me as well (ie, it's just a high interest loan with some major warrant coverage meant to act as security). But the question remains: if the warrants are unlikely to be exercised, why is the stock still trading at a meager $2/share? Sure would be nice for AIG to file those deal documents to help us out (that, and they seem just a tad material).
7. Posted by Jake on September 18, 2008 @ 19:45 | Permalink
Lipshaw gets it right. Odd, though, how it takes more than 2-3 sentences.
This morning I heard a caller on a radio show suggest that the Federal government "taking over" AIG is a step in the right direction if one want to make the government the health care insurer of last resort. Now there's an intriguing idea. Let the government have its own captive insurer.
Hayek spins in his grave. Lenin laughs (temporarily, one hopes).
8. Posted by quick secured loan on February 14, 2011 @ 5:06 | Permalink
Hi,
Interesting blog. I am wondering if you ever found a site that gives an approximation on the amount of knowledge was acquired in the last 500, 250, 100, 50, and 25 years.
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