October 10, 2008
Equity Is In!
Posted by Fred Tung

It's official, sort of.  Hank Paulson has declared Treasury's intention to buy nonvoting equity in troubled financial institutions.  Changing course from a month ago, when he opposed buying equity stakes, Paulson admitted that:

we can use the taxpayers' money more effectively and efficiently, have it go further, get more for their dollars and more protection if we develop a standardized program [to buy equity].

No other details were offered.  The purchases would apparently be part of the $700 BB EESA allocation, and would be under EESA's general authorization.  Paulson's declaration came after the G-7 issued some general principles for a coordinated approach to financial crisis.

UPDATE:  According to NYT, the plan to buy equity "'now emerging as a major part of the rescue effort in the United States."  Treasury may start buying equity stakes in the next two weeks, even sooner than it plans to buy troubled assets.  "Events also seem to have upended the Treasury’s plan to stabilize the financial system by buying billions of dollars of troubled assets from the banks."

As for the proposal to guaranty interbank debt, it looks like it's going to be difficult for the US and other G-7 countries to resist after the UK has done it.  Other countries risk losing bank deposits to the safest haven.  Interesting twist on the dynamics of regulatory competition! 

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Comments (4)

1. Posted by Jake on October 10, 2008 @ 21:57 | Permalink

Lenin smiles. Hayek frowns.

All that aside, if Paulson were truly motivated by a desire to "use the taxpayers' money more effectively and efficiently," the Treasury would stand aside and let the bad banks enter bankruptcy, then, and only then, buy equity stakes in these institutions.

That would be the surest way to get the bottom dollar price for the taxpayers (assuming one accepts the dubious proposition that we want our government to own large equity stakes in banks in the first place).


2. Posted by fedgovernor on October 11, 2008 @ 8:24 | Permalink

There's another way also ... which is to lead the banks to the day before bankruptcy, and then "buy" equity at the barrel of the bankruptcy gun.

That's what Paulson is going to do.

He doesn't need to let these banks go bankrupt and complicate matters by getting pesky lawyers involved.

He can walk them over to the brink and show them the abyss, and let them know in no uncertain terms that they're going to give him an equity stake at whatever price he decides or else he's going to push them over the cliff.

That's how you "get Capone." That's the Chicago way.


3. Posted by Mike Guttentag on October 11, 2008 @ 19:17 | Permalink

I think most economists would agree that buying equity is a better approach then trying to value and purchase CDOs and other securities from banks. Probably, Paulson never could have dreamed three weeks ago that it would be politically palatable for the US Treasury to purchase equity in private banks. I’d count this as a small victory for the economists and rationality.


4. Posted by Loyola Law on October 13, 2008 @ 22:13 | Permalink

Agreed. Equity stakes are smarter for this situation. The banks just need $$$ to buy the time to let liquidity return and let the CDO's mature and display their intrinsic value. Giving the government an equity stake sounds "un-American" but it is the best way to properly allocate the risk and rewards for the injection of taxpayer dollars. The market has shown it is unwilling to provide the capital these banks need. The US government is willing to do what needs to be done and current shareholders should rightfully see their stakes in these banks being diluted by the US stake. Hopefully we can recoup this money in the future and the politicians do not try to achieve political goals through the Treasury ownership.

On the topic of international regulatory competition, how has the presence of Japanese banks, some of the most stable of the G-7 banking systems and not in need of help, factored in? Isn't Tokyo the real safe haven prior to the UK guaranty?

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