March 10, 2009
Photos of Happy Traders Again!
Posted by Gordon Smith

When the Dow goes up over 5%, we get photos of happy traders!

Trader

That's much better than this guy ...

Trader2

Of course, today's bump provokes the predictable discussion of whether we have hit bottom. Not yet, say some. If you are looking for signals of a market bottom, try here. But this is my favorite bit of analysis (written yesterday):

A bottom will occur when there is a lack of interest in attempting to call a bottom, or there is a belief that a bottom is nowhere on the horizon. Unfortunately, we are still not seeing the despair that is usually found at major market bottoms.


Huh?

Actually, I don't see anyone calling this rally a bounce off the bottom. Here is one that is close, though:

“If we’re not at a bottom, we’re a pretty close,” said Michael Binger, Minneapolis-based fund manager at Thrivent Asset Management, which oversees about $60 billion. “It’s time to start putting money into stocks. Stocks are cheap and worldwide stimulus will eventually help lift earnings.”


I am with Binger. Last week, when people started talking about Dow 5000, I assumed we were close to the end of the decline. That was just crazy talk. The depressed cousin of this. We will bounce around for a bit longer, but it's time to get bullish again.

Financial Crisis | Bookmark

TrackBacks (0)

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8345157d569e2011168d142c4970c

Links to weblogs that reference Photos of Happy Traders Again!:

Comments (2)

1. Posted by fedgovernor on March 10, 2009 @ 17:36 | Permalink

Mark my words:

In 30 days, Citicorp will post a multi-billion loss for the first quarter of 2009 and its CEO will become the poster boy of the end of capitalism in America.

Woe be unto anyone who bought this POS stock based on this charlatan, who clearly is merely buying time for himself to continue the executive looting of taxpayer dollars.


2. Posted by TaxRascal on March 11, 2009 @ 9:17 | Permalink

It's true by definition that the bottom is when people are most pessimistic. If everyone is pricing in another 20% drop, and then they decide that the drop will be only 10% after all, the market will rise; if Binger's view is sufficiently popular, we can't hit the bottom because people like him will keep pushing prices up. It's only when he gives up or runs out of money that the selling would stop and the market would rise.

Post a comment

If you have a TypeKey or TypePad account, please Sign In

Bloggers
Papers
Posts
Recent Comments
Popular Threads
Search The Glom
The Glom on Twitter
Archives by Topic
Archives by Date
February 2012
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
      1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29      
Syndicate The Glom
Subscribe

The Glom's Blog Network on Facebook:

Miscellaneous Links
LexisNexis Top Business Blogs 2011

 LexisNexis Tax Law Community 2011 Top 20 Blogs